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China-Venezuela Fact Sheet: A Short Primer on the Relationship

01/13/2026
China-Venezuela Fact Sheet: A Short Primer on the Relationship (Download PDF)975.91 KB
China-Venezuela Fact Sheet: A Short Primer on the Relationship

Key Takeaways

  • Venezuela has been one of China’s closest partners in Latin America. China’s relationship with Venezuela grew rapidly after Hugo Chavez was elected in 1998. In 2023, the two countries elevated their relationship to an “all-weather strategic partnership,” a high-level diplomatic designation that signals long-term cooperation across politics, trade, energy, and other areas. 

  • Beijing has developed deep economic ties with Venezuela over the past two decades. Chinese policy banks loaned more to Venezuela than any other Latin American country; at least $10 billion in Chinese bank loans is outstanding. China also purchases most of Venezuela’s oil, which accounts for over half of Venezuela’s fiscal revenue, despite U.S. sanctions. 

  • Venezuela is the largest purchaser of Chinese military equipment in Latin America. China has also constructed and retains access to two satellite tracking stations within Venezuela. While the “all-weather” partnership reflects deep ties, it does not create formal security guarantees. 

Political Evolution 

  • From the late 1950s to the late 1990s, Venezuela was regarded as one of Latin America’s more stable democracies.[1] After Hugo Chavez’s election in 1998, he steadily consolidated power, weakened democratic checks and balances, and implemented policies that contributed to economic decline.[2] He also expanded ties with Cuba, Russia, and China, signing hundreds of new agreements with China in subsequent years spanning political, economic, and security realms.[3]
  • Nicolas Maduro took power after Chavez’s death in 2013, turning increasingly authoritarian as Venezuela’s economy continued to decline.[4]  As the United States expanded its sanctions on Venezuela (which had begun in 2006), China became a prime source of financing and investment.[5] Venezuela supported China in many international forums (including positions on Taiwan and Hong Kong) while China emphasized respect for Venezuelan sovereignty and opposition to sanctions.[6] During Maduro’s state visit in 2023, China upgraded its relationship with Venezuela to an All-Weather Strategic Partnership, making Venezuela one of only seven countries to hold China’s highest tier of bilateral partnership.[*][7]
  • Maduro declared himself the victor in both the 2018 and 2024 Presidential elections, neither of which most international observers considered free or fair.[8] Since 2019, more than 50 countries, including the United States, have refused to recognize Maduro as Venezuela’s legitimate head of state.[9]

Trade

  • China is Venezuela’s second-largest trading partner after the United States.[10] China’s total trade with Venezuela has increased since 2020 and totaled nearly $6 billion for the first 11 months of 2025.[11] Starting in 2020, China had a trade surplus with Venezuela, which reached $3.8 billion for the first 11 months of 2025 (see figure).[12]
  • China’s trade with Venezuela is a small portion of China’s overall trade with Latin America and the Caribbean, accounting for only 1.2 percent of its total trade with the region in the first 11 months of 2025.[13]
  • Over two-thirds of China’s official imports from Venezuela are oil and oil-related products.[14] However, this is likely an underestimate because the vast majority of China’s oil imports from Venezuela are recorded as shipments from other countries, including Brazil and Malaysia.[15] Most China-Venezuela oil is traded in renminbi (RMB), but dollars and at least one dollar-backed stablecoin continue to be used to settle Venezuelan oil sales.[16]

Figure: China’s Trade with Venezuela, 2020–2025

Source: China’s General Administration of Customs, via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026.

Investment

  • China’s foreign direct investment (FDI) stock in Venezuela hit a high of $3.5 billion in 2018, but it has declined steadily, in part due to the expansion of U.S. sanctions on Venezuela in 2019, sharp declines in international oil prices in 2020, persistent hyperinflation, and long-term mismanagement of Venezuela’s oil sector.[17] Chinese FDI stock had declined to $318 million by 2024.[18] These investments are concentrated in extractive industries (e.g., oil and minerals) and manufacturing.[19]
  • Chinese companies have also been involved in multiple critical infrastructure sectors, including agriculture (e.g., irrigation systems), power generation and transmission, ports, and water.[20] Huawei and ZTE have large presences in Venezuelan telecommunications infrastructure.[21] Additionally, ZTE developed Venezuela’s “Fatherland Card” system—used to track voting patterns, ration food and supplies, and monitor social media accounts—and China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation (CEIEC) provided the Maduro regime a commercial version of China’s “Great Firewall.”[†][22]

Debt

  • Through 2015, China provided Venezuela at least $60 billion in oil-backed loans via state-run banks, primarily China Development Bank.[23] After oil prices crashed in 2016, Venezuela was forced to send China larger volumes of oil to service these debts.[24] In 2016, China stopped making new loans to Venezuela and allowed it to lengthen the maturity of its existing debts.[25] Venezuela stopped publishing details about its public debt after defaulting in 2017, and analysts estimate it still owes China at least $10 billion.[26]

Oil

  • Venezuela has the largest proven oil reserves in the world.[27] However, it accounts for less than 1 percent of global oil production due to mismanagement and U.S. sanctions.[28] Oil sales make up over 88 percent of Venezuela’s exports.[29] This represents over half of Venezuela’s fiscal revenue.[30]
  • China is the largest purchaser of Venezuelan oil, with analysts estimating it purchases between 50 and 89 percent.[‡][31] But Venezuelan oil is estimated to make up only 4 to 4.5 percent of China’s seaborne imports.[32] If Venezuelan exports were disrupted, China would be able to source similar blends of crude oil from countries like Canada, Iran, and Iraq, albeit at higher prices that some analysts assert could be “unsustainable” for some Chinese refiners.[33]
  • State-owned China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) operates several joint ventures with U.S.-sanctioned Venezuelan state-owned enterprise Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA).[§] [34] Additionally, three Chinese firms entered production-sharing agreements with PDVSA in 2024.[35]

Sanctions

  • The United States first imposed targeted sanctions on Venezuela in 2006.[36] Over time, the United States has expanded sanctions to include sectoral sanctions and secondary sanctions on Venezuela and its oil industry, mainly during the first Trump Administration’s “maximum pressure campaign.”[37]
  • China became the primary destination for sanctioned Venezuelan oil as other countries curbed their purchases in response to U.S. sanctions.[38] China has used evasion methods similar to those it uses to import oil from other sanctioned countries like Iran and Russia, including transshipment, bartering, and “shadow fleet” tankers with opaque ownership.[39] For more on China’s role in sanctions evasion, see Graham Ayres and Lyndi Tsering, “China’s Facilitation of Sanctions and Export Control Evasion,” U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, November 14, 2025.
  • In 2020, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation (CEIEC) pursuant to Executive Order (EO) 13692 for conducting cyber and surveillance operations against political opposition groups in Venezuela.[40] Sanctioning Chinese entities under Venezuela-related programs had been exceedingly rare until December 31, 2025 when OFAC added four Chinese companies with ties to the oil trade to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons (SDN) list, along with four vessels owned by or linked to those companies.[41]

Military Cooperation

  • Venezuela has been the largest buyer of Chinese weapons in Latin America.[42] Since 2005, purchases have included light tanks, rocket launchers, anti-tank and anti-ship missiles, and armored personnel carriers that have been used to suppress protests.[43] Venezuela has also purchased transportation and training aircraft from China, and both countries affirmed their aerospace cooperation in November 2025.[44]
  • During the January 3rd U.S. raid, Venezuela’s Chinese radar systems appear to have failed to provide effective detection of incoming U.S. aircraft, although it is not clear whether this was due to U.S. electronic jamming, lack of maintenance, and/or limitations in the integration and coordination of Venezuela’s air defense network.[45] These systems include the JYL-1, JY-11, and possibly the JY-27A, which is touted as a long-range “anti-stealth” radar with the ability to detect fifth-generation aircraft such as U.S. F-22s and F-35s.[46] While the Venezuelan military claimed that it detected F-35s in October 2025, this is unconfirmed.[47]
  • China has constructed two satellite ground stations in Venezuela—the El Sombrero Satellite Ground Station (located on Captain Manuel Rios Aerospace Base) and its backup facility, the Luepa Satellite Control Ground Station—to handle the telemetry, tracking, and command of a Venezuelan civilian satellite.[48] According to at least one Chinese technician, Beijing is able to remotely access these facilities.[49] For the People’s Liberation Army, access to these ground stations could enhance the survivability and resilience of space operations during a conflict. [50]

 

Disclaimer: This paper is the product of professional research performed by staff of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, and was prepared at the request of the Commission to support its deliberations. Posting of the report to the Commission’s website is intended to promote greater public understanding of the issues addressed by the Commission in its ongoing assessment of U.S.-China economic relations and their implications for U.S. security, as mandated by Public Law 106-398 and Public Law 113-291. However, the public release of this document does not necessarily imply an endorsement by the Commission, any individual Commissioner, or the Commission’s other professional staff, of the views or conclusions expressed in this staff research report.

 

Footnotes


[*] The other countries with “all-weather partnerships” are Pakistan, Belarus, Ethiopia, Uzbekistan, and Hungary. Kazakhstan’s highest tier partnership is referred to using a separate term. Jacob Mardell, “PRC Partnership Diplomacy in the New Era,” Jamestown Foundation, September 20, 2024. https://jamestown.org/prc-partnership-diplomacy-in-the-new-era/.

[†] CEIEC was sanctioned under Executive Order 13692 (“VENEZUELA”) in November 2020. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Treasury Sanctions CEIEC for Supporting the Illegitimate Maduro Regime’s Efforts to Undermine Venezuelan Democracy, November 30, 2020. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm1194.

[‡] Most of China’s oil imports from Venezuela are recorded as shipments from other countries, like Brazil and Malaysia. This causes estimates of China’s share of Venezuelan oil exports to vary widely. Erica Downs and Luisa Palacios, “Venezuela-China Oil Ties Severely Impacted by US Action,” Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy, January 7, 2026. https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/venezuela-china-oil-ties-severely-impacted-by-us-action.

[§] PDVSA was sanctioned under Executive Order 13850 (“VENEZUELA-EO13850”) in January 2019. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Treasury Sanctions Venezuela’s State-Owned Oil Company Petroleos de Venezuela, S.A., January 28, 2019. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm594.


Endnotes


[1] Katie, Galgano, “Venezuela’s Story: Democratic Paths to Authoritarianism,” RealClearWorld, February 24, 2021. https://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2021/02/24/venezuelas_story_democratic_paths_to_authoritarianism_661643.html. 

[2] Diana Roy and Amelia Cheatham, “Venezuela: The Rise and Fall of a Petrostate,” Council on Foreign Relations, July 31, 2024. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/venezuela-crisis; Katie, Galgano, “Venezuela’s Story: Democratic Paths to Authoritarianism,” RealClearWorld, February 24, 2021. https://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2021/02/24/venezuelas_story_democratic_paths_to_authoritarianism_661643.html.

[3] Jose Briceno-Ruiz and Norbert Molina Medina, “China-Venezuela Relations in a Context of Change,” in China–Latin America Relations in the 21st Century: The Dual Complexities of Opportunities and Challenges, Raúl Bernal-Meza and Li Xing, eds. (Palgrave Macmillan, 2018),148; 

[4] Diana Roy and Amelia Cheatham, “Venezuela: The Rise and Fall of a Petrostate,” Council on Foreign Relations, July 31, 2024. https://avech.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/China%E2%80%93Latin_America_Relations_in_the_21st_Century.pdf; Matt Ferchen, “China-Venezuela Relations in the Twenty-First Century: From Overconfidence to Uncertainty,” United States Institute of Peace Special Report, no. 484 (September 2020): 1–23. https://www.usip.org/sites/default/files/2020-09/20200924-sr_484-china-venezuela_relations_in_the_twenty-first_century_from_overconfidence_to_uncertainty-sr.pdf. 

[5] Clare Ribando Seelke, “Venezuela: Overview of U.S. Sanctions Policy,” Congressional Research Service (Report Number IF 10715), December 5, 2025. https://sgp.fas.org/crs/row/IF10715.pdf. 

[6] Carlos Eduardo Piña, “China: A Silent Ally Protecting Venezuela’s Maduro,” Diplomat, July 25, 2024. https://thediplomat.com/2024/07/china-a-silent-ally-protecting-venezuelas-maduro/. 

[7] China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, “Joint Statement between the People's Republic of China and the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela on Establishing an All-Weather Strategic Partnership’” September 14, 2023. (中华人民共和国和委内瑞拉玻利瓦尔共和国关于建立全天候战略伙伴关系的联合声明) https://web.archive.org/web/20260107192625/https://www.mfa.gov.cn/zyxw/202309/t20230914_11142477.shtml.

[8] Organization of American States, “Resolution declaring that the electoral process concluded on May 20, 2018 lacks legitimacy and did not meet international standards,” June 5, 2018. https://www.oas.org/en/media_center/press_release.asp?sCodigo=S-032%2F18&; Congressional Research Service, “Venezuela’s 2024 Presidential Election: Observers Conclude It Did Not Meet International Standards,” August 2, 2024. https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/IN/PDF/IN12354/IN12354.2.pdf.

[9] U.S. Department of State, “Nicolas Maduro Moros (Captured),” January 6, 2026. https://www.state.gov/nicolas-maduro-moros/.

[10] “What Trump’s Ousting of Venezuela’s Maduro Means for China,” Bloomberg, January 5, 2026. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/china-what-ousting-of-venezuela-s-maduro-means-for-taiwan-oil-imports.

[11] China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Exports to Venezuela, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026; China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Imports from Venezuela, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026.

[12] China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Exports to Venezuela, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026; China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Imports from Venezuela, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026.

[13] China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Exports to Latin America, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026; China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Exports to Venezuela, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026; China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Imports from Latin America, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026; China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Imports from Venezuela, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026.

[14] China's General Administration of Customs, "China: Imports from Venezuela, NSA, Mil.US$," via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026; China’s General Administration of Customs, “CN: Imp: Venezuela: Mineral Fuels/Oils/Distillation Prod/Etc, YTD, NSA, Thous.US$,” via Haver Analytics, accessed January 8, 2026.

[15] Erica Downs and Luisa Palacios, “Venezuela-China Oil Ties Severely Impacted by US Action,” Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy, January 7, 2026. https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/venezuela-china-oil-ties-severely-impacted-by-us-action.

[16] Shen Zewei, “美国活捉马杜罗警告中俄 背后涉石油战、资源战、货币战” [U.S. Capture of Maduro Is a Warning to China and Russia. Background Involves Oil War, Resource War, Currency War], Lianhe Zaobao, January 6, 2026. https://web.archive.org/web/20260108202045/https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20260106-8056645; “啥影响 石油矿产货币结算 连锁反应蔓延全球” [What Impact? Oil and Mineral Currency Settlements, Chain Reaction Extends Globally], Chongqing Morning Post, January 5, 2026. https://web.archive.org/web/20260104173321/https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2026-01-05/doc-inhfeknh7271584.shtml; “With Dollars Scarce, Venezuela Currency Exchanges Turn to Crypto,” Reuters, September 3, 2025. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/with-dollars-scarce-venezuela-currency-exchanges-turn-crypto-2025-09-03.

[17] China's Ministry of Commerce, National Bureau of Statistics, and State Administration of Foreign Exchange, 2024年度中国对外直接投资统计公报 [2024 Statistical Bulletin of China's Outward Foreign Direct Investment], September 1, 2024, 57. https://web.archive.org/web/20260108140319/https://fdi.mofcom.gov.cn/resource/pdf/2025/09/22/5a527460bd2c40d7ae69549e037ed98d.pdf; Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, China’s Embassy in Venezuela Office of Economic and Commercial Affairs,  and China’s Ministry of Commerce Department of Outbound Investment and Economic Cooperation, 对外投资合作国别(地区)指南: 委内瑞拉 (2021年版) [Outbound Investment Cooperation by Country (Region) Guidebook: Venezuela (2021)], January 2022, 26–27. https://web.archive.org/web/20260108222901/https://fdi.mofcom.gov.cn/resource/pdf/2022/04/06/792067fa88b04b96942c60a9c4f87be5.pdf.

[18] China's Ministry of Commerce, National Bureau of Statistics, and State Administration of Foreign Exchange, 2024年度中国对外直接投资统计公报 [2024 Statistical Bulletin of China's Outward Foreign Direct Investment], September 1, 2024, 57. https://web.archive.org/web/20260108140319/https://fdi.mofcom.gov.cn/resource/pdf/2025/09/22/5a527460bd2c40d7ae69549e037ed98d.pdf.

[19] Kandy Wong, “Behind the Venezuela Crisis, a US-China Tussle over Critical Minerals,” South China Morning Post, January 6, 2026. https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3338894/behind-venezuela-crisis-us-china-tussle-over-critical-minerals; Lewis Jackson and Sam Li, “China’s Oil Investments in Venezuela,” Reuters, January 5, 2026. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-oil-investments-venezuela-2026-01-05; Margaret Myers, Ángel Melguizo, and Yifang Wang, “‘New Infrastructure’: Emerging Trends in Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean,” Inter-American Dialogue, January 2024, 13. https://www.thedialogue.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Emerging-Trends-in-Chinese-Foreign-Direct-Investment-in-LAC.pdf.

[20] “2009,” China CAMC Engineering Co., Ltd., accessed January 8, 2026. https://web.archive.org/web/20221009005242/http://www.camce.com.cn/en/enAC/enHOD/en2009; Katherine Keleski and Alec Blivas, “China’s Engagement with Latin America and the Caribbean,” U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, October 17, 2018, 30–38. https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/Research/China%27s%20Engagement%20with%20Latin%20America%20and%20the%20Caribbean_.pdf; Haibin Niu, “A Strategic Analysis of Chinese Infrastructure Projects in Latin America and the Caribbean,” in Building Development for a New Era: China’s Infrastructure Projects in Latin America and the Caribbean, ed., Enrique Dussel Peters, Ariel C. Armony, and Shoujun Cui (University of Pittsburgh and Red Académica de América Latina y el Caribe sobre China, 2018), 189. https://www.ucis.pitt.edu/asc/sites/default/files/BuildingDevelopmentNewEra.pdf; “Venezuela Became Important Engineering Project Markets for SINOMACH,” Sinomach, April 26, 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20260108215229/https://www.sinomach.com.cn/en/MediaCenter/News/201412/t20141209_21872.html.

[21] Ling Xin, “China’s Sensitive Technology at Risk After Trump Abducts Venezuelan Leader Maduro,” South China Morning Post, January 6, 2026. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3338844/chinas-sensitive-technology-risk-after-trump-abducts-venezuela-leader-maduro; Xinyi Wu, “What assets does China have in Venezuela, and what could happen with Maduro gone?” South China Morning Post, January 5, 2026. https://www.scmp.com/economy/global-economy/article/3338807/what-assets-does-china-have-venezuela-and-what-could-happen-maduro-gone.

[22] Luke Maloney, “Chinese Dual-Use Technological Infrastructure in Latin America and its Risks,” Journal of International Service, December 14, 2023. https://ausisjournal.com/2023/12/14/chinese-dual-use-technological-infrastructure-in-latin-america-and-its-risks/; U.S. Department of the Treasury, Treasury Sanctions CEIEC for Supporting the Illegitimate Maduro Regime’s Efforts to Undermine Venezuelan Democracy, November 30, 2020. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm1194; Angus Berwick, “How ZTE Helps Venezuela Create China-Style Social Control,” Reuters, November 14, 2018. https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/venezuela-zte.

[23] “ICBC Participates in $2.206 Billion Syndicated Loan for Puerto La Cruz Refinery Deep Conversion Project,” AidData, accessed January 8, 2026. https://china.aiddata.org/projects/58367; Inter-American Dialogue and Boston University Global Development Policy Center, “China-Latin America Commercial Loans Tracker—Venezuela,” accessed January 8, 2026. https://www.thedialogue.org/MapLists/#/Commercial/List/no-of-loans; Inter-American Dialogue and Boston University Global Development Policy Center, “Chinese Loans to Latin America and the Caribbean Database—Venezuela,” accessed January 8, 2026. https://www.thedialogue.org/MapLists/#/Policy/List/amount; “What Trump’s Ousting of Venezuela’s Maduro Means for China,” Bloomberg, January 5, 2026. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/china-what-ousting-of-venezuela-s-maduro-means-for-taiwan-oil-imports.

[24] Alexandra Stevenson, “China Needed Oil. Venezuela Needed Cash. Their Deal Faces a Turning Point,” New York Times, January 5, 2026. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/05/business/venezuela-oil-china-deal.html.

[25] Gustavo Ocando Alex, “Venezuela, Revolving Door for Chinese Interests in Latin America (Part I),” Fundación Andrés Bello, November 20, 2020. https://www.fundacionandresbello.org/en/reporting/venezuela-revolving-door-for-chinese-interests-in-latin-america-part-i; Corina Pons and Chen Aizhu, “China Stays on the Sidelines as Venezuela Spirals Downward,” Reuters, March 21, 2018. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-china/china-stays-on-the-sidelines-as-venezuela-spirals-downward-idUSKBN1GX0BO.

[26] “Maduro’s ‘Perfect Union’ with China Hides Deep Economic Rupture,” Bloomberg, January 7, 2026. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-07/maduro-s-perfect-union-with-china-hides-deep-economic-rupture; Ryan McMorrow and Joe Leahy, “China’s Influence in US Backyard Tested by Nicolás Maduro’s Downfall,” Financial Times, January 5, 2026. https://www.ft.com/content/9d53fc43-6352-4ee5-891e-c067d00305ba; “What Trump’s Ousting of Venezuela’s Maduro Means for China,” Bloomberg, January 5, 2026. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/china-what-ousting-of-venezuela-s-maduro-means-for-taiwan-oil-imports.

[27] U.S. Energy Information Administration, Country Analysis Brief: Venezuela, February 8, 2024, 5. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/Venezuela/pdf/venezuela_2024.pdf.

[28] Marianna Parraga et al., “Venezuela’s Oil and Mining Sectors: Large Potential, Weak Infrastructure,” Reuters, January 5, 2026. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/venezuelan-oil-industry-worlds-largest-reserves-decaying-infrastructure-2026-01-03; Rong Wei Neo, “Blow to China from Venezuela Oil Loss Eased by Hoard at Sea,” Bloomberg, January 5, 2026. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/blow-to-china-from-loss-of-venezuela-oil-blunted-by-hoard-at-sea; U.S. Energy Information Administration, Country Analysis Brief: Venezuela, February 8, 2024, 5. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/Venezuela/pdf/venezuela_2024.pdf.

[29] Luisa Palacios, Richard Nephew, and Daniel Sternoff, “Q&A on US Actions in Venezuela,” Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy, January 4, 2026. https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/qa-on-us-actions-in-venezuela; Simon Romero, “Oil Tanker Seizure Hits Venezuela’s Lifeblood. Here’s What to Know,” New York Times, December 11, 2025. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/11/world/americas/oil-tanker-venezuela-economy-chevron.html.

[30] Samantha Schmidt, Karen DeYoung, and Dan Lamothe, “Trump Announces ‘Complete Blockade’ of Sanctioned Oil Tankers to Venezuela,” Washington Post, December 17, 2025. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/12/16/trump-venezuela-oil-tanker-blockade.

[31] Kandy Wong, “Behind the Venezuela Crisis, a US-China Tussle over Critical Minerals,” South China Morning Post, January 6, 2026. https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3338894/behind-venezuela-crisis-us-china-tussle-over-critical-minerals; Ryan McMorrow and Joe Leahy, “China’s Influence in US Backyard Tested by Nicolás Maduro’s Downfall,” Financial Times, January 5, 2026. https://www.ft.com/content/9d53fc43-6352-4ee5-891e-c067d00305ba; Luisa Palacios, Richard Nephew, and Daniel Sternoff, “Q&A on US Actions in Venezuela,” Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy, January 4, 2026. https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/qa-on-us-actions-in-venezuela; U.S. Energy Information Administration, Country Analysis Brief: Venezuela, February 8, 2024, 21. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/Venezuela/pdf/venezuela_2024.pdf.

[32] Joe Leahy and Malcolm Moore, “Donald Trump’s Venezuela Action Raises Threat for China’s Oil Supplies,” Financial Times, January 8, 2026. https://www.ft.com/content/f64826fa-5c36-4fb3-8621-ee0b9d9a1ff5; Lewis Jackson and Sam Li, “China’s Oil Investments in Venezuela,” Reuters, January 5, 2026. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-oil-investments-venezuela-2026-01-05.

[33] Siyi Liu and Florence Tan, “Chinese Refiners Expected to Replace Venezuelan Oil with Iranian Crude, Traders Say,” Reuters, January 7, 2026. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinese-refiners-expected-replace-venezuelan-oil-with-iranian-crude-traders-say-2026-01-07; Muyu Xu, “US Pressure Clouds Venezuelan Crude Exports to China, but Spot Supply Remains Ample,” Kpler, December 16, 2025. https://www.kpler.com/blog/us-pressure-clouds-venezuelan-crude-exports-to-china-but-spot-supply-remains-ample.

[34] Xinyi Wu, “What Assets Does China Have in Venezuela, and What Could Happen with Maduro Gone?” South China Morning Post, January 6, 2026. https://www.scmp.com/economy/global-economy/article/3338807/what-assets-does-china-have-venezuela-and-what-could-happen-maduro-gone.

[35] Erica Downs and Luisa Palacios, “Venezuela-China Oil Ties Severely Impacted by US Action,” Columbia University Center on Global Energy Policy, January 7, 2026. https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/venezuela-china-oil-ties-severely-impacted-by-us-action; Yongchang Chin, “Chinese, Russian Claims on Venezuela Oil Now Seen as Tenuous,” Bloomberg, January 5, 2026. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-05/foreign-oil-claims-in-venezuela-in-doubt-after-us-intervention.

[36] Clare Ribando Seelke, “Venezuela: Overview of U.S. Sanctions Policy,” Congressional Research Service (Report No. IF10715), December 5, 2025, 1. https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF10715.

[37] Clare Ribando Seelke, “Venezuela: Overview of U.S. Sanctions Policy,” Congressional Research Service (Report No. IF10715), December 5, 2025. https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF10715; William Tobin, “‘Maximum Pressure’ Sanctions on Venezuela Help US Adversaries, Hurt Venezuelans,” Atlantic Council, January 2025, 3. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/maximum-pressure-sanctions-on-venezuela.pdf.pdf.

[38] Marianna Parraga et al., “Venezuela's Oil and Mining Sectors: Large Potential, Weak Infrastructure,” Reuters, January 5, 2026. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/venezuelan-oil-industry-worlds-largest-reserves-decaying-infrastructure-2026-01-03; Elias Ferrer, “How the U.S. Is Handing Over Venezuela’s Oil Sector to China,” Oil Price, June 14, 2025. https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/How-the-US-is-Handing-Over-Venezuelas-Oil-Sector-to-China.html.

[39] Güney Yildiz, “Maduro, Venezuela, the U.S.—and the Oil Shock China Can’t Price In,” Forbes, January 3, 2026. https://www.forbes.com/sites/guneyyildiz/2026/01/03/maduro-venezuela-the-us-and-the-oil-shock-china-cant-price-in; Peter Beaumont, “Alarm over ‘Exploding’ Rise in Use of Sanctions-Busting Shadow Fleet,” Guardian, December 21, 2025. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/dec/21/alarm-over-exploding-rise-in-use-of-sanctions-busting-shadow-fleet; Jason Bartlett and Megan Ophel, “Sanctions by the Numbers: Spotlight on Venezuela,” Center for a New American Security, June 22, 2021. https://www.cnas.org/publications/reports/sanctions-by-the-numbers-3.

[40] U.S. Department of the Treasury, Treasury Sanctions CEIEC for Supporting the Illegitimate Maduro Regime’s Efforts to Undermine Venezuelan Democracy, November 30, 2020. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm1194.

[41] Kate Sullivan, “US Sanctions Chinese Companies, Tankers with Venezuela Links,” Bloomberg, January 1, 2026. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-31/us-sanctions-oil-tankers-companies-with-links-to-venezuela; U.S. Department of the Treasury, Treasury Targets Oil Traders Engaged in Sanctions Evasion for Maduro Regime, December 31, 2025. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0348; U.S. Department of the Treasury, Venezuela-Related Designations: Specially Designated Nationals List Update, December 31, 2025. https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20251231; U.S. Department of the Treasury, Consolidated List. https://sanctionslist.ofac.treas.gov/Home/ConsolidatedList.

[42] Diana Roy, “China’s Growing Influence in Latin America,” Council on Foreign Relations, June 5, 2025. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-influence-latin-america-argentina-brazil-venezuela-security-energy-bri.

[43] Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, “Arms Transfer Database,” https://armstransfers.sipri.org/ArmsTransfer/TransferData/transferResults?logic=on; Kristen Huang, “Venezuela Sends in China-Built ‘Rhinoceros’ Vehicles to Quell Anti-Government Protests,” South China Morning Post, May 3, 2019. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3008783/venezuela-sends-china-built-rhinoceros-vehicles-quell-anti. 

[44] Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, “Arms Transfer Database,” https://armstransfers.sipri.org/ArmsTransfer/TransferData/transferResults?logic=on; Dennis Yang, “PRC-Venezuela Relations Endure During U.S. Military Operation,” Jamestown, December 19, 2025. https://jamestown.org/prc-venezuela-relations-endure-during-u-s-military-operation/#:~:text=The%20'All%2DWeather%20Strategic%20Partnership,2%5D.

[45] Micah McCartney, “China-Made Military Radars May Have Failed Venezuela During US Raid,” Newsweek, January 7, 2026. https://www.newsweek.com/china-made-military-radars-may-have-failed-venezuela-during-us-raid-11308099; Amber Wang, “Venezuela attack seen as reminder for China to boost air defence, counter-intelligence,” South China Morning Post, January 6, 2026. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3338912/venezuela-attack-seen-reminder-china-boost-air-defence-counter-intelligence.

[46] Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, “Arms Transfer Database,” https://armstransfers.sipri.org/ArmsTransfer/TransferData/transferResults?logic=on; Micah McCartney, “China-Made Military Radars May Have Failed Venezuela During US Raid,” Newsweek, January 7, 2026. https://www.newsweek.com/china-made-military-radars-may-have-failed-venezuela-during-us-raid-11308099; Eric Hundman, “China's Air Defense Radar Industrial Base,” China Aerospace Studies Institute, March 10, 2025. 30. https://www.airuniversity.af.edu/Portals/10/CASI/documents/Research/Infrastructure/2025-03-10%20Air%20Defense%20Radars.pdf?ver=n23Kh46_R--EG2y9MEQAPg%3D%3D; Carlos E. Hernández, ”Venezuela Recibe Radares Chinos de Largo Alcance” [Venezuela Receives Long-Range Chinese Radars], Infodefensa, September 27, 2019. https://www.infodefensa.com/texto-diario/mostrar/3127174/venezuela-recibe-radares-chinos-largo-alcance.

[47] Michael Rios, “Venezuela says it detected 5 US ‘combat planes’ flying 75km from its coast, calls it a ‘provocation,’” CNN, October 2, 2025. https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/02/americas/venezuela-detects-us-fighter-jets-latam-intl.

[48] Ling Xin, “China’s sensitive technology at risk after Trump abducts Venezuelan leader Maduro,” South China Morning Post, January 6, 2026. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3338844/chinas-sensitive-technology-risk-after-trump-abducts-venezuela-leader-maduro; R. Evan Ellis, “China-Latin America Space Cooperation: An Overview,” The Diplomat, February 16, 2024. https://thediplomat.com/2024/02/china-latin-america-space-cooperation-an-overview/; Jonathan Roll and Oliver Du Bois, “Redshift: The Acceleration of China’s Commercial and Civil Space Enterprise & The Challenge to America,” Commercial Space Federation, September 2025, 38. https://commercialspace.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/CSF-Redshift-v6.pdf.

[49] Cate Cadell and Marcelo Perez, “A growing global footprint for China’s space program worries Pentagon,” Washington Post, November 21, 2023. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/interactive/2023/china-space-program-south-america-defense/.

[50] U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, 2025 Annual Report to Congress, November 2025, 387. 

 

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Joseph Federici,
Nicole Morgret,
Benton Gordon,
Graham Ayres

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