Thank you, Chairman DAmato, Chairman Mulloy and Members of the Commission,
for inviting me to testify today. I am Andy Shoyer, a partner in the Washington,
DC office of Powell, Goldstein, Frazer & Murphy. Prior to joining the firm,
I served for seven years with the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, most
recently as Legal Advisor in the U.S. Mission to the World Trade Organization
in Geneva. Then as now, the primary focus of my work is to help U.S. companies
and industry associations to use WTO disciplines to address market access barriers
and unfair conditions of competition abroad.
The accession of China to the WTO late last year has presented our financial
services industry with enormous opportunities. We advise a number of companies
active in financial services markets in China. In support of that work, I traveled
to China twice last year in capacity-building efforts with Chinese government
officials on WTO implementation. It is from that perspective that I offer testimony
today about the benefits that should accrue to the U.S. industry from Chinas
financial services commitments, the challenges that lie ahead, and the means
(short of formal WTO dispute settlement) through which we can maximize the benefits
of these commitments. I will begin by outlining the benefits that U.S. industry
should derive from China's WTO commitments.
Part I: Benefits
To set the stage, let me briefly describe the competitive conditions faced by
U.S. financial service suppliers in China in the absence of WTO disciplines.
According to the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, China's services sector
has been one of the most heavily regulated and protected parts of the national
economy. Foreign banks and securities firms have faced a restrictive, opaque
regulatory environment. They could not engage in local currency business except
in Shanghai and Shenzhen. There were numerous discriminatory regulatory burdens
placed on foreign banks that appeared to have no rational relationship to "prudential"
criteria.
Independent auto and other vehicle financing (i.e., financing by non-banks)
was prohibited, as was financial leasing.
Market access for insurance service suppliers was similarly restrictive. Prior
to WTO accession, 16 foreign insurers were licensed to operate in China, mainly
in Shanghai or Guangzhou.
And securities firms have been able to trade only in "B" shares (small
quantities of stock designated for foreign investors) but only on a shared commission
basis, and to underwrite only international securities offerings. Market access
for foreign asset management firms was very limited.
Chinas WTO commitments provide new and significant opportunities for U.S.
financial services providers:
Geographical limitations are eliminated within 5 years of accession and
rigorous limitations on product offerings are lifted.
In banking, local currency services are permitted and the requirement
of approval, on a case-by-case discretionary basis, for each new representative
office or branch has been eliminated.
Auto financing by non-banks is now permitted, and financial leasing will
be open to foreign service suppliers when domestic institutions are permitted
to do so.
In securities, the prohibition on investment and the underwriting of
securities is ended.
And, in insurance, providers are able to offer life, non-life and reinsurance
products as well as group and pension polices. Restrictive licensing procedures
are eliminated. Moreover, providers are released from the requirement of operating
with a government-selected partner.
Certainly, U.S. financial service firms did not get everything they hoped for
in China's WTO accession package. But the benefits of these commitments to U.S.
financial service suppliers should be very significant. For example, according
to USTR, even the most conservative estimates predict that total insurance premiums
in China will reach $15-30 billion in the next few years. U.S. industry estimated
that, if China were to lift its market access barriers completely -- which it
will over time -- U.S. insurance providers should capture more than $2 billion
of that market.
But the range of American beneficiaries of China's financial service commitments
is hardly limited to U.S. financial service suppliers. Our financial service
suppliers are among the most efficient, dynamic and innovative in the world.
Their active participation in China will enhance the quality of financial services
throughout the country. This improved financial infrastructure will, in turn,
make it easier for other U.S. companies, who will depend on high-quality banking
and insurance services, to thrive in that market.
Part II: Challenges
These benefits can only be achieved, however, if China implements its commitments.
Based on my discussions with U.S. firms and Chinese officials, there are real
challenges ahead. As new regulations are promulgated, Chinese courts will have
to take on the burden of interpreting them. Yet the rule of law in China is
still emerging, and there has been little experience for Chinese courts to draw
upon in addressing legal issues affecting capital markets. Moreover, Chinese
capital markets lack an effective ratings system, disclosure requirements are
poor, transparency is lacking, bankruptcy procedures are underdeveloped, and
the government domestic bond market is still developing. The domestic banking
system itself is hampered by the lack of a credit culture, numerous non-performing
loans, poor balance sheets, and little diversification.
Foreign competition secured by WTO commitments will help to address many of
these problems. For example, the implementation of WTO commitments on transparency
and procedural due process will help enormously to underpin the reforms needed
in China's judicial system. But I see two additional risks associated with WTO
implementation.
First, it will be more difficult to educate and discipline provincial and municipal
regulators than it will be at the national level. There are many more local
officials and (notwithstanding Western stereotypes of China's one-party rule)
China is far from a monolith in terms of governance. These officials will resist
change and resist the notion that international rules discipline their freedom
of action. Yet the actions (or inaction) of government regulators at the sub-national
level play a significant role in the life of financial service suppliers, and
will therefore play a significant role in China's overall compliance record.
Second, but equally important, as foreign service suppliers increase the scope
of activity in China, less competitive domestic service suppliers will surely
press government officials to maintain or erect barriers to protect their positions
in the market. China has had little experience with open competition within
its borders. We have great difficulty resisting the siren song of protectionism
here at home. How will Chinese government officials fare?
Part III: Ensuring Compliance
One of the great advantages of having our trade relationship with China governed
by WTO commitments is that they are enforceable through dispute settlement.
We advise many clients on WTO compliance matters and formal WTO dispute settlement
has proven to be a remarkably effective tool in many cases.
But dispute settlement cannot serve as the only means through which China's
trading partners seek compliance with China's WTO obligations. Nor can we afford
to stand aside and hope and pray that China will do the right thing. Instead,
enforcement efforts must be combined with, and preceded by, serious and consistent
efforts to provide technical assistance. Indeed, all of us with a stake in the
success of China's WTO implementation -- private companies, industry associations,
government officials and international bodies -- must assist China to build
its capacity to meet its WTO commitments. As I mentioned, I have been involved
in several technical assistance programs, both here and in China, designed to
educate Chinese officials about WTO substantive and procedural obligations,
give them specific examples of how other governments meet those obligations
and to suggest how these "best practices" might be translated into
the Chinese system. In my experience, the most effective programs have combined
government regulators and private sector expertise, so that private companies
can explain which practices have worked well in the past, and which practices
have not.
IV:- Conclusion
In conclusion, there is much work ahead, but I am cautiously optimistic that
U.S. industry can and will secure the benefits of China's WTO commitments in
the financial service sector.
I appreciate the opportunity to participate in the important work of the Commission,
and would be pleased to answer any questions.